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  BELOW SEE THE REAL EXIT POLLS, State by State.   SEE CNN AS IT WAS ON 11/03/2004 AT 1.00 a.m. EST (provided by www.exitpollz.org)

U.S. PRESIDENT / IOWA / EXIT POLL


2,502 Respondents Updated: 12:23 a.m.

VOTE BY GENDER
BUSH
KERRY NADER
TOTAL
2004
2000
2004
2004
Male (46%)
50%
-2
47% 2%
Female (54%)
47%
+3
52% 1%
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•  More data from this poll (in pdf)

•  THE CONFIDENTIAL VOTE ESTIMATE
•  CNN now (cooked version)
NOTE
• Key: n/a = not available; * Represents a statistically insignificant number of respondents
• Exit polls are a survey of selected voters taken soon after they leave their voting place. Pollsters use this sample information, collected from a small percentage of voters, to track and project how all voters or specific segments of the voters sided on a particular race or ballot measure.
• All Times Eastern Standard
• CNN will broadcast a projected winner only after an extensive review of data from a number of sources. Details about CNN's projection process
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The above exit poll data weighted Male/Female 46/54% gives Kerry 49.3% to 50.2% Bush 47.9% to 48.8%
NEP now states that the weighted IA exit poll showed : Kerry 50.0% Bush 49.0%
which gives the following vote estimate:
The VOTE ESTIMATE - confidential and unpublished
Estimates not for on-air use
Iowa General Exit Poll
PRES04
In today's presidential election who did you just vote for?

 

Total

KERRY

BUSH

NADER

Rep2000

Number of Interviews – 2,502

Vote Estimate Not for On-Air Use

100

50

49

1

-

The data used to reconstruct the Exit Poll Vote Estimate is taken from the NEP report dated January 2005

 

WHAT WAS ABOUT TO HAPPEN
THE DECLARED RESULT Kerry 49.2% Bush 49.9%
Discrepancy with the exit poll - 0.8% + 0.9%